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Future of army intervention in Pakistan

In the midst of all kinds of opinion about the “sincerity” of the PPP government in pursuing the cause of the judges and its “concealed sympathy” with President Pervez Musharraf, Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani has spoken at the National Defence University in Islamabad, and explained the stance of the partisans of democracy in the country vis-à-vis military intervention. He told the class that Pakistan had a few officers in the army who got together with “a class of politicians, bureaucrats, judiciary and affluent members of the civil society” to block the process of establishing democratic institutions in Pakistan. According to Mr Gilani, Pakistan paid a heavy price for this “civil military alliance” which flouted the supremacy of parliament and other democratic institutions. It created polarisation in the country and made it difficult for the political parties to get together on one minimal plank. In fact, he said, the only politics Pakistan knew in the 1990s was the musical chairs of pushing each other down. He therefore welcomed the decision of the current army chief, General Ashfaq Pervez Kayani, to stop military institutions from interfering in civilian affairs.

The prime minister touched upon the central flaw in the state of Pakistan: geopolitical compulsions drove Pakistan to a “security-first approach as against a development-first approach” which the PPP has now pledged to reverse. He also made it plain that Pakistan had to fight against terrorism and restore law and order in the country, and that it was also committed to strengthening the army to face the new challenges.

To put in bluntly, the “security-first” approach had less to do with our geopolitical location — which was probably more relevant in the case of preventing the Soviet Union from reaching the “warm waters” of the Indian Ocean — than with India. Pakistani ideologues created the notion of the “other” to formulate its nationalism; and nationalism had to find its teleology of fighting a “just war”. But after losing many wars in pursuit this form of nationalism — which allowed supremacy to the army in the country — we want the army to tame itself. However, the question is whether we can do it without changing the nature of our nationalism?

Fortunately, both the mainstream parties forming the current coalition are in agreement over their policy projections towards India. Mr Nawaz Sharif and Mr Asif Ali Zardari have made it very clear to the residual jingoists in Pakistan that they will pursue normalisation with India to its logical conclusion. That is certain to curtail the tendency of the army to intervene in the system by pleading lack of attention to the “India factor and Kashmir”. The other important pillar that sustained military intervention in the past pertains to religious ideology. In this case too the country is threatened from within and religion can no longer be used to secure the country against India.

Prime Minister Gilani has corrected the misimpression that the government is leaning in favour of President Musharraf in the great drive led by the lawyers and the PMLN to get rid of the president by some means other than constitutional. A rumour in this respect was allowed to balloon out of all proportion and the PPP was challenged to join the crowd asking the president to leave. While the PPP has favoured Mr Musharraf’s voluntary decision to quit, and called for his impeachment if he doesn’t, it has also shown realism in not endorsing the rhetoric of trying the president for treason, knowing that the army will not allow that to happen.

Today, it should be appreciated that the army is clearly inclined to stay out of civilian affairs. It is worried about the challenges ahead posed by the presence of the Taliban in the Tribal Areas, and it is worried about the modality ultimately chosen by the politicians to tackle the problem. It is conscious of an increasingly unbridled public opinion nurtured by opinion-makers on TV channels and newspapers in favour of an isolationist future while no problem related to terrorism or the economy can be tackled without external assistance.

In today’s black and white “revolutionary” thinking, the PPP government is allegedly trapped in indecision. What everybody wants is a revolutionary decision to join battle on just one side; and resort to Constitution is ignored in favour of executive orders that effect summary change. But the only way problems can be resolved is the long constitutional view of things. What if President Musharraf refuses to go? The lawyers say they will agitate and hope that something will happen as a result. Thus a radicalised Pakistan is not in favour of doing things legally. Therefore it is good that the speech made by the prime minister sets the record straight on where the government stands with regard to the Pakistan army. *

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